{
 "name": "DFI Political-Risk & PRI-Mappability Screen",
 "scope_note": "Per-asset political-risk and political-risk-insurance (PRI) mappability screen over the 13-asset COI-clean DFI financeability pipeline. A DFI sizes its exposure on whether the asset is insurable: jurisdiction attractiveness (Fraser), security/conflict context (ACLED), MIGA / national-ECA cover availability, and expropriation / resource-nationalism risk. Honest spread: Namibia (Twin Hills, Kokoseb) is premier-tier and low-risk; Tanzania (Fraser 2025 ~68) and Cote d'Ivoire are moderate; the frontier cases (Sierra Leone, Ethiopia, Eritrea) carry higher PRI need but remain mappable; Mali (Kalana) is the high-risk worked case — military transition, a 2023 code raising state take, and Sahel security. Each cell is Sourced / Derived / Absent. Only the verified Tanzania Fraser figure (68.04) is cited numerically; other jurisdiction reads are qualitative and Derived. Jurisdiction risk is a neutral diligence-routing read, not editorial commentary. NOTE: 'PRI mappable' means cover is in-principle available (most host countries are MIGA members); it does NOT mean cover is easily or cheaply placeable — for Mali and Eritrea it is materially harder, which is where political-risk cover matters most. Only the verified Tanzania Fraser figure is numeric and the sub-index is not specified; other jurisdiction reads are qualitative.",
 "feed_version": "v2.57.0",
 "as_of": "2026-06-29",
 "standard_spine": "Fraser jurisdiction attractiveness · ACLED conflict · MIGA / ECA political-risk cover · expropriation / resource-nationalism",
 "three_state": "Sourced (named disclosure) · Derived (inferred / desk-level, method named) · Absent (named, never filled)",
 "counterparty_disclosure": "Afrimintel has no commercial relationship with any operator, financier, DFI or ECA named on this page. This screen is self-produced from public primary and authoritative secondary sources and Afrimintel's published data layer; no party named has reviewed, endorsed, or been informed of it.",
 "coi_screen": "COI-clean pipeline: no DRC, Rwanda or Great Lakes asset. Data-layer screen only — no editorial opinion on any operator, financier or jurisdiction; jurisdiction risk is a neutral diligence-routing read.",
 "counts": {
  "total": 59,
  "low_risk_jurisdiction": 11,
  "high_or_elevated_risk": 16,
  "pri_mappable": 58
 },
 "assets": [
  {
   "id": "twin-hills",
   "name": "Twin Hills",
   "country": "Namibia",
   "operator": "Shanjin International (acquired Osino)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Namibia — consistently ranked among the premier African mining-investment jurisdictions in the Fraser survey; stable, well-developed institutions",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Dhamana / Fraser commentary"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "No project-level ACLED admin1 figure captured for the Erongo region this cycle; Namibia is low-conflict."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA — expropriation, transfer/convertibility, war/civil disturbance) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "MIGA membership (general)"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Low — stable jurisdiction; 5% local-equity & affirmative-action conditions are codified, not discretionary expropriation",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Low political risk — premier-tier Namibian jurisdiction; PRI mappable; low expropriation risk"
  },
  {
   "id": "kokoseb",
   "name": "Kokoseb",
   "country": "Namibia",
   "operator": "Wia Gold 80% / Epangelo 20%",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Namibia — premier-tier African jurisdiction (Fraser); stable",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Dhamana / Fraser commentary"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Namibia low-conflict; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA — expropriation, transfer/convertibility, war/civil disturbance) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "MIGA membership (general)"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Low — stable jurisdiction; Epangelo 20% is a codified state JV, not discretionary",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Low political risk — Namibian jurisdiction; PRI mappable (early-stage asset)"
  },
  {
   "id": "nyanzaga",
   "name": "Nyanzaga",
   "country": "Tanzania",
   "operator": "Perseus Mining 80% / GoT 20%",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Tanzania — Fraser 2025 score ~68.04 (verified); mid-pack, improved post-2017-reform stabilisation",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Fraser 2025 (verified); sub-index not specified"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent"
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA — expropriation, transfer/convertibility, war/civil disturbance) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "MIGA membership (general)"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate — Tanzania's 2017 mining reforms increased state take and local-content/equity demands; now broadly stabilised",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Tanzania 2017 mining framework"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate political risk — Tanzania (Fraser 2025 ~68); 2017-reform legacy; PRI mappable"
  },
  {
   "id": "ngualla-ree",
   "name": "Ngualla (rare earths)",
   "country": "Tanzania",
   "operator": "Mamba / Peak Rare Earths 84% / GoT 16%",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Tanzania — Fraser 2025 score ~68.04 (verified); mid-pack",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Fraser 2025 (verified); sub-index not specified"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent"
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA — expropriation, transfer/convertibility, war/civil disturbance) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "MIGA membership (general)"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate — 2017-reform state-participation regime; critical-minerals assets may draw additional state interest",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate political risk — Tanzania (Fraser ~68); critical-mineral state-interest overlay; PRI mappable"
  },
  {
   "id": "kabanga-ni",
   "name": "Kabanga Nickel",
   "country": "Tanzania",
   "operator": "Lifezone Metals / Tembo Nickel",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Tanzania — Fraser 2025 score ~68.04 (verified); mid-pack",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Fraser 2025 (verified); sub-index not specified"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent"
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "PRI typically available (MIGA/ECA; per-country eligibility not verified this cycle); additionally, U.S. DFC engagement signals U.S.-government risk appetite for the asset",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "U.S. DFC portal, 2025"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate — Tanzania 2017 framework; Tembo Nickel JV with GoT codifies state participation",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate political risk — Tanzania (Fraser ~68); DFC engagement a positive risk signal; PRI mappable"
  },
  {
   "id": "assafou",
   "name": "Assafou",
   "country": "Cote d'Ivoire",
   "operator": "Endeavour Mining",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Cote d'Ivoire — improving West African jurisdiction; established multi-mine operating base (Endeavour, Perseus, Barrick); 2014 mining code",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "CIV mining sector / operator base"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Northern CIV (Bounkani/Tanda) is Sahel-adjacent; no project admin1 ACLED figure captured this cycle."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA — expropriation, transfer/convertibility, war/civil disturbance) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "MIGA membership (general)"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Low-moderate — stable CIV mining code; 10% state free-carry is codified",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Low-moderate political risk — CIV (established mining jurisdiction); Sahel-adjacent north; PRI mappable"
  },
  {
   "id": "kone",
   "name": "Kone",
   "country": "Cote d'Ivoire",
   "operator": "Montage Gold",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Cote d'Ivoire — improving jurisdiction; 2014 code",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "CIV mining sector"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent"
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA — expropriation, transfer/convertibility, war/civil disturbance) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "MIGA membership (general)"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Low-moderate — codified 2014 code, 10% state free-carry",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Low-moderate political risk — CIV; PRI mappable"
  },
  {
   "id": "doropo",
   "name": "Doropo",
   "country": "Cote d'Ivoire",
   "operator": "Resolute Mining",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Cote d'Ivoire — improving jurisdiction; Doropo is in the northern Bounkani region near the Burkina Faso border",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "CIV mining sector / Resolute"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Bounkani borders Burkina Faso (Sahel insurgency zone) — heightened border-security context; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA — expropriation, transfer/convertibility, war/civil disturbance) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "MIGA membership (general)"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Low-moderate jurisdiction risk, but elevated border-security context (BF frontier)",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Low-moderate jurisdiction risk + elevated BF-border security context — CIV; PRI mappable"
  },
  {
   "id": "ewoyaa",
   "name": "Ewoyaa (lithium)",
   "country": "Ghana",
   "operator": "Atlantic Lithium (MIIF state equity)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Ghana — stable, established mining jurisdiction; Green Minerals Policy; first lithium mine",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Ghana mining sector / Atlantic Lithium"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Ghana low-conflict; the live political item is fiscal-terms renegotiation, not security."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA — expropriation, transfer/convertibility, war/civil disturbance) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "MIGA membership (general)"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Low-moderate — Ghana renegotiated the lithium royalty terms (2025 regs) before ratifying; resource-nationalism on critical minerals is the watch-item, not expropriation",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Mining Weekly, Mar 2026"
   },
   "screen": "Low-moderate political risk — Ghana (stable); critical-minerals fiscal-renegotiation watch-item; PRI mappable"
  },
  {
   "id": "baomahun",
   "name": "Baomahun",
   "country": "Sierra Leone",
   "operator": "FG Gold (private)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Sierra Leone — frontier IDA jurisdiction; smaller, less-diversified mining sector",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Sierra Leone mining context"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent"
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "PRI typically available (MIGA/ECA; per-country eligibility not verified this cycle); AFC/Afreximbank debt close already absorbed frontier-jurisdiction risk",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "AFC/Afreximbank, Dec 2025"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate frontier risk — institutional-capacity constraints typical of IDA jurisdictions",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate frontier risk — Sierra Leone (IDA); DFIs already in; PRI mappable"
  },
  {
   "id": "kurmuk",
   "name": "Kurmuk",
   "country": "Ethiopia",
   "operator": "Allied Gold (KGM ~70%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Ethiopia — frontier jurisdiction; Kurmuk is in the Benishangul-Gumuz region (western Ethiopia), which has seen periodic regional unrest",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Allied disclosure / regional context",
    "note": "Benishangul-Gumuz has a history of localised instability; supply-chain mitigation (6 weeks' on-site storage) is noted in the NI 43-101 TR."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": "NI 43-101 TR notes potential for local/regional unrest affecting access and supply chains; mitigated with on-site supply storage",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Allied NI 43-101 TR"
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "PRI typically available (MIGA/ECA; per-country eligibility not verified this cycle); the Wheaton stream absorbed frontier-jurisdiction risk at financing",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Wheaton, Dec 2024"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate-elevated — frontier governance + regional unrest history; Development Agreement (2021) fixes fiscal/regulatory terms, reducing expropriation risk",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate-elevated political risk — Ethiopia frontier + Benishangul-Gumuz unrest history; DA fixes terms; PRI mappable"
  },
  {
   "id": "kalana",
   "name": "Kalana",
   "country": "Mali",
   "operator": "Endeavour Mining (SOMIKA 80% / Mali 20%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Mali — HIGH-RISK jurisdiction: military-transition government, 2023 mining code raising state take, active resource-nationalism; among the weakest Sahel jurisdictions for foreign operators",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Discovery Alert, 2026 / Mali 2023 code"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": "Sahel security environment; Mali has elevated conflict exposure (the Kayes region recorded 302 ACLED events in the captured window)",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "ACLED admin1 (captured 12 May 2026)",
    "note": "Kayes is a Malian administrative region; Kalana sits in southern Mali (Sikasso) — the figure indicates the national security context, not necessarily Kalana's own admin1."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "PRI is in principle mappable but materially harder/costlier to place in the current Mali environment; this is where political-risk cover matters most",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "HIGH — military-transition government, 2023 code increasing state take, active resource-nationalism; Endeavour reportedly seeking local partners",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Discovery Alert, 2026"
   },
   "screen": "HIGH political risk — Mali (military transition, 2023 code, resource-nationalism, Sahel security); the pipeline's worked PRI case; project stalled"
  },
  {
   "id": "colluli-potash",
   "name": "Colluli (SOP potash)",
   "country": "Eritrea",
   "operator": "CMSC — SRBG 50% / ENAMCO 50%",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Eritrea — opaque, frontier jurisdiction; one-party state, limited institutional transparency; prior UN sanctions lifted 2018",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Mining.com (Eritrea UN sanctions lifted 2018)"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Danakil is remote/sparsely populated; the jurisdiction risk is governance/transparency, not localised conflict."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "PRI mappability is constrained — frontier governance + an SOE-on-SOE (SRBG/ENAMCO) structure; cover is in principle available but harder to place",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Elevated — one-party governance, limited transparency; 50% state ownership (ENAMCO) plus a Chinese-SOE partner; expropriation risk via opacity rather than overt code change",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Elevated political risk — Eritrea (opaque frontier governance, SOE-on-SOE); PRI harder to place; jurisdiction is the central risk"
  },
  {
   "id": "kasiya",
   "name": "Kasiya (rutile-graphite)",
   "country": "Malawi",
   "operator": "Sovereign Metals (Rio Tinto 19.9%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Malawi — emerging/frontier mining jurisdiction; 2023 Mines & Minerals Act; mining is a government-priority growth sector; World Bank/IFC active in Malawi (Mpatamanga hydro)",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Sovereign / Malawi 2023 Mines Act"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Malawi is low-conflict; no project admin1 ACLED figure captured this cycle."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate frontier risk — reforming framework (2023 Act); mining-priority policy reduces discretionary risk; institutional-capacity constraints typical of an emerging jurisdiction",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Frontier Malawi jurisdiction, reforming, World-Bank/IFC-active; PRI typically available; moderate frontier risk"
  },
  {
   "id": "etango",
   "name": "Etango (uranium)",
   "country": "Namibia",
   "operator": "Bannerman Energy / CNNC (CNOL) JV",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Namibia — leading global uranium jurisdiction (45-year production history: Rossing, Husab, Langer Heinrich); stable, pro-mining",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Crux / Oregon Group"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Namibia low-conflict."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle; note CNNC (Chinese SOE) ownership may narrow Western-ECA cover",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Low — stable Namibian jurisdiction, fully permitted (ML 250); 5% One Economy Foundation holding is codified",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Low-risk Namibia uranium jurisdiction; PRI typically available; CNNC ownership a Western-ECA/geopolitical consideration"
  },
  {
   "id": "mahenge",
   "name": "Mahenge (graphite)",
   "country": "Tanzania",
   "operator": "Black Rock Mining 84% / GoT 16%",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Tanzania — Fraser 2025 score ~68.04 (verified); Moody's upgrade citing reduced political risk; structural-reform agenda; 11+ framework agreements with foreign miners",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Fraser 2025 (verified); Mining Review"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent"
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle; DBSA/IDC (DFIs) already in the structure, indicating placed risk appetite",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "TanzaniaInvest"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate — 2017 reform legacy now stabilised; Black Rock framework agreement fixes fiscal terms (30% tax, 4% royalty, 16% free-carry)",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Crux / Mining Review"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate Tanzania jurisdiction (Fraser ~68); DFIs already engaged; framework agreement fixes terms; PRI typically available"
  },
  {
   "id": "songwe-hill",
   "name": "Songwe Hill (rare earths)",
   "country": "Malawi",
   "operator": "Mkango Resources (GoM 10%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Malawi — emerging/frontier jurisdiction; Mining Development Agreement signed (2024); US DFC + US State Dept engagement provide geopolitical support",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Mkango / mining-technology"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Malawi low-conflict."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "U.S. DFC already engaged (DFC is itself a US DFI/PRI provider); Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Mkango YE-2025"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate frontier risk; Mining Development Agreement fixes fiscal terms; strong Western (US/EU) institutional backing reduces risk",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Frontier Malawi but US-DFC + EU-CRMA backed (strong geopolitical support); MDA fixes terms; DFC/PRI available"
  },
  {
   "id": "tumas",
   "name": "Tumas (uranium)",
   "country": "Namibia",
   "operator": "Deep Yellow (Oponona 5% post-FID)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Namibia — leading uranium jurisdiction (3rd-largest global producer), stable; uranium a declared 'strategic' mineral with state-participation requirements on new licences",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Oregon Group / Namibia policy"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent"
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Low — stable Namibia, ML granted (20-yr); strategic-mineral state-participation is codified, not discretionary",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Low-risk Namibia uranium jurisdiction; strategic-mineral state-participation codified; PRI typically available"
  },
  {
   "id": "kangankunde",
   "name": "Kangankunde (rare earths)",
   "country": "Malawi",
   "operator": "Lindian Resources (RVR 67%->100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Malawi — described as a stable, mining-friendly jurisdiction; fully permitted (MML0290/22); streamlined approvals",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Lindian / mining-technology"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Malawi low-conflict."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate frontier risk; fully permitted with strong in-country government support; commercially financed with counterparties as disclosed ownership",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Frontier Malawi but stable/mining-friendly, fully permitted; PRI typically available; moderate risk"
  },
  {
   "id": "makuutu",
   "name": "Makuutu (heavy rare earths)",
   "country": "Uganda",
   "operator": "Ionic Rare Earths / RRM (~6% local)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Uganda — 2022 Mining Act (modernised framework); Makuutu the first large-scale ML granted under it; explicit ministerial support; MSP partner ambitions",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "rare-earth-mining.com / Ionic"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Project area (eastern Uganda, near Jinja) not flagged; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate frontier risk; new 2022 Mining Act and ML-in-hand reduce regulatory uncertainty; government publicly supportive",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Frontier Uganda but modern 2022 Mining Act + ML granted + government support; PRI typically available; moderate risk"
  },
  {
   "id": "kobada",
   "name": "Kobada (gold)",
   "country": "Mali",
   "operator": "Toubani Resources ~90% / Mali 10%",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Mali — HIGH-RISK jurisdiction: military-transition government, 2023 mining code raising state take, Sahel; Kobada sits in the southern Sikasso region (operator describes the south as comparatively stable)",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Toubani / Mali 2023 code"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": "Sahel security environment; southern Mali (Sikasso) comparatively calmer than the north, but national risk is elevated",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "ACLED national context",
    "note": "Same Sikasso region as Kalana; national Sahel risk applies."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "PRI in-principle mappable but materially harder/costlier to place in the current Mali environment — where cover matters most",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "HIGH — military-transition government, 2023 code increasing state take and equity; investment-agreement MoU being finalised",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Toubani / Mali 2023 code"
   },
   "screen": "HIGH political risk — Mali (military transition, 2023 code, Sahel); construction proceeding under a State MoU; second Mali asset alongside Kalana"
  },
  {
   "id": "banio",
   "name": "Banio (potash)",
   "country": "Gabon",
   "operator": "Millennial Potash (US DFC-backed)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Gabon — frontier jurisdiction; underwent a 2023 military-led political transition; Atlantic-coast resource economy",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Gabon 2023 transition / general"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Coastal southern Gabon (Mayumba area); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "U.S. DFC engaged (a US DFI/PRI provider); Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Proactive Jan 2026"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate-elevated frontier risk — post-2023-transition governance; mitigated by strong U.S. DFC institutional involvement",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Frontier Gabon (post-2023 transition) but US-DFC-engaged (strong institutional backing); PRI available via DFC"
  },
  {
   "id": "epanko",
   "name": "Epanko (graphite)",
   "country": "Tanzania",
   "operator": "EcoGraf / TanzGraphite",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Tanzania — established mining jurisdiction; Fraser Investment Attractiveness ~68 (2025); SML in hand; EU-engaged transport corridor",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Fraser 2025 (Tanzania 68.04) / EcoGraf",
    "note": "Tanzania Fraser score is the one verified numeric; same jurisdiction as Mahenge/Ngualla."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Mahenge/Ulanga region (south-central Tanzania); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate — 2017 reforms raised state participation/local content; framework now stable; SML in hand and DFIs engaged",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate-risk Tanzania (Fraser ~68); SML in hand, European DFIs engaged — manageable jurisdiction risk"
  },
  {
   "id": "dugbe",
   "name": "Dugbe (gold)",
   "country": "Liberia",
   "operator": "Pasofino Gold / HRL (GoL 10% free-carry)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Liberia — frontier, historically mining-friendly via 25-yr MDA; BUT a Dec-2025 GoL notice alleges MDA concerns (potential default/arbitration) — a LIVE jurisdiction dispute",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Junior Mining Network Dec 2025"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Southern Liberia (Dugbe); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "PRI in-principle mappable; the live MDA dispute would complicate placement until resolved; Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "ELEVATED right now — the Government of Liberia has issued an MDA-concern notice (Dec 2025); consultation/arbitration pending; compounded by a pending change of control (Nioko)",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Junior Mining Network / Ecofin"
   },
   "screen": "ELEVATED political risk — live GoL-MDA dispute (Dec 2025) is the headline; PRI harder to place until it clears"
  },
  {
   "id": "sanankoro",
   "name": "Sanankoro (gold)",
   "country": "Mali",
   "operator": "Cora Gold (EEA 29.9%) / Mali 10%",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Mali — HIGH-RISK: military-transition government, 2023 Mining Code, and a Nov-2023 mining-permit MORATORIUM only partially lifted (Mar 2025); Yanfolila belt (southern Mali)",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Cora Gold Sep 2025 / Mali 2023 code"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": "Sahel security context; southern Mali (Yanfolila) comparatively calmer than the north; national risk elevated",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "ACLED national context",
    "note": "Third Mali asset (with Kalana, Kobada)."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "PRI in-principle mappable but materially harder/costlier in the current Mali environment",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "HIGH — 2023 code raises state take (up to 35%); permit moratorium directly delays Sanankoro; constructive govt engagement reported",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Cora Gold / Mali 2023 code"
   },
   "screen": "HIGH political risk — Mali military transition, 2023 code, and the live permit moratorium directly gate Sanankoro; third Mali asset"
  },
  {
   "id": "chilalo",
   "name": "Chilalo (graphite)",
   "country": "Tanzania",
   "operator": "Evolution Energy Minerals (ARCH cornerstone)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Tanzania — Fraser Investment Attractiveness ~68 (2025; 4th in Africa); ML + Govt Framework/Shareholders Agreement in place",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Fraser 2025 (Tanzania 68.04) / TanzaniaInvest",
    "note": "Tanzania Fraser is the one verified numeric; same jurisdiction as Epanko/Mahenge/Ngualla."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Lindi/Ruangwa region (south-east Tanzania); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate — 2017 reforms raised state participation/local content; framework agreement in hand provides legal/physical security",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Proactive"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate-risk Tanzania (Fraser ~68); ML + Govt framework agreement provide security — manageable jurisdiction risk"
  },
  {
   "id": "mingomba",
   "name": "Mingomba (copper)",
   "country": "Zambia",
   "operator": "KoBold Metals 80% / ZCCM-IH 20%",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Zambia — Copperbelt; policy conditions improved under the current government; ZCCM-IH 20% state participation; power/water are binding operational constraints",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "African Mining Market Apr 2026"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Copperbelt; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate — improved policy stance; ZCCM-IH state minority is structural not adversarial; the real risks are power reliability and dewatering, not expropriation",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "African Mining Market"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate Zambia (improved policy); ZCCM-IH 20% state; binding risks are power/water (operational), not political"
  },
  {
   "id": "phalaborwa",
   "name": "Phalaborwa (rare earths)",
   "country": "South Africa",
   "operator": "Rainbow Rare Earths (US-DFC/TechMet-backed)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "South Africa — established mining jurisdiction, deep infrastructure and ports (Richards Bay, Cape Town); offset by Eskom power constraints and policy/charter uncertainty",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "rare-earth-mining.com"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Limpopo (Phalaborwa); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate — strong rule-of-law and mining law, but power reliability (Eskom) and mining-charter/policy uncertainty weigh; first major SA REE",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate SA — best-in-Africa infrastructure/ports + US backing, offset by Eskom/policy risk; strategically key jurisdiction (SA buyer set)"
  },
  {
   "id": "kola",
   "name": "Kola (potash)",
   "country": "Republic of Congo",
   "operator": "Kore Potash (97%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Republic of Congo (Brazzaville) — frontier; mining convention with fixed fiscal terms; coastal Sintoukola Basin; NOT the DRC",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Kore / World Fertilizer",
    "note": "Republic of Congo (Brazzaville), not DR Congo — outside the Great Lakes/DRC scope."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Coastal RoC (Sintoukola/Pointe-Noire area); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate frontier risk; mining convention with fixed fiscal terms reduces fiscal uncertainty; reported constructive government ties",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Alliance News / Kore"
   },
   "screen": "Frontier RoC (Brazzaville) with a fixed-term mining convention; moderate risk; coastal logistics advantage"
  },
  {
   "id": "waterberg",
   "name": "Waterberg (PGM)",
   "country": "South Africa",
   "operator": "Platinum Group Metals Ltd / Implats / HJ / Mnombo(BEE)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "South Africa — established PGM jurisdiction (Bushveld), strong mining law and Mining Right granted; offset by Eskom power constraints and policy/charter uncertainty",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "PTM / general"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Limpopo / Northern Limb; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate — rule-of-law and granted Mining Right, but Eskom reliability and mining-charter/BEE policy weigh; second SA asset in the screen",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate SA — granted Mining Right + established PGM jurisdiction, offset by Eskom/policy risk; SA buyer-relevant"
  },
  {
   "id": "longonjo",
   "name": "Longonjo (rare earths)",
   "country": "Angola",
   "operator": "Pensana Plc (FSDEA ~29%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Angola — frontier, but strongly US/allied-aligned here (US EXIM/DFC, Lobito Corridor); sovereign FSDEA co-investor; Atlantic export via Lobito port",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "DFC / Ecofin"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Huambo province (central Angola); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "US EXIM political-risk insurance attached to the project; Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Discovery Alert / Ecofin"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate frontier risk, materially mitigated by sovereign FSDEA co-ownership and US ECA (EXIM PRI) involvement",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Ecofin / Discovery Alert"
   },
   "screen": "Frontier Angola but de-risked — sovereign FSDEA anchor + US EXIM PRI + Lobito Corridor; among the better-insulated frontier cases"
  },
  {
   "id": "khill",
   "name": "K.Hill (battery manganese)",
   "country": "Botswana",
   "operator": "Giyani Metals (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Botswana — among Africa's most stable, well-governed, mining-friendly jurisdictions (diamond-anchored economy); economic-diversification priority",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "general / Discovery Alert"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Kanye Basin (south-east Botswana); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Low — strong rule of law, stable democracy, pro-mining policy; new jurisdiction for the screen",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "LOW-risk Botswana — among Africa's best-governed mining jurisdictions; new country, strengthens the low-risk end"
  },
  {
   "id": "minim-martap",
   "name": "Minim Martap (bauxite)",
   "country": "Cameroon",
   "operator": "Canyon Resources / Camalco (Camrail 26.9%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Cameroon — frontier; first major mine, strong government support; project in Adamaoua (central plateau), away from Anglophone/Far-North security zones",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Crux Investor / Discovery Alert"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Adamaoua region; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate frontier risk; mitigated by strong government backing (first mine), local bank (Afriland) and CNPS interest; security-sensitive regions are elsewhere in-country",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Business in Cameroon"
   },
   "screen": "Frontier Cameroon, first major mine with strong government support; project sited away from in-country security zones — moderate"
  },
  {
   "id": "steelpoortdrift",
   "name": "Steelpoortdrift (vanadium)",
   "country": "South Africa",
   "operator": "Vanadium Resources (VR8) 86.49%",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "South Africa — established mining jurisdiction (Bushveld), fully permitted; offset by Eskom power constraints and policy/charter uncertainty",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Mining Weekly"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Limpopo (Steelpoortdrift); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate — rule of law + full permits in hand, offset by Eskom reliability and mining-charter/policy uncertainty; fourth SA asset",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate SA — fully permitted + established jurisdiction, offset by Eskom/policy risk"
  },
  {
   "id": "dasa",
   "name": "Dasa (uranium)",
   "country": "Niger",
   "operator": "Global Atomic via SOMIDA (Niger govt 20%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Niger — HIGH/ELEVATED political risk: military junta since the July-2023 coup; revoked Orano's Imouraren licence + GoviEx's Madaouela licence (2024), nationalised Somair (2025), expelled US troops, tilting toward Russia",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "mining.com / nucnet / Discovery Alert",
    "note": "Niger govt has 'strongly supported' Dasa specifically (20% SOMIDA stake) to date, but the jurisdiction risk is high."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Adrar Emoles III, 105km S of Arlit; Sahel security context; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "PRI critical and complex here given junta + peer-expropriation record; Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "HIGH — junta has expropriated PEER uranium licences (Orano, GoviEx) and nationalised Somair; Dasa differentiated by Niger's 20% SOMIDA stake + 'project-for-Nigeriens' framing, but tail risk is material",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "mining.com / Discovery Alert"
   },
   "screen": "HIGH-RISK Niger — junta with a peer-expropriation record; Dasa is state-partnered (20%) and govt-supported to date, but jurisdiction tail risk is material (the screen's clearest elevated-risk case)"
  },
  {
   "id": "baniaka",
   "name": "Baniaka (iron ore)",
   "country": "Gabon",
   "operator": "Genmin (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Gabon — frontier (2023 transition since the Aug-2023 change of government); strong government support, signed Mining Convention, assured public-infrastructure access",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Ecofin / MarketScreener",
    "note": "Gabon post-2023-transition but stable and project-supportive (unlike the Niger junta)."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Haut-Ogooue (SE Gabon, near Franceville); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate frontier risk; Mining Convention + strong government backing (priority diversification project) mitigate; post-2023-transition jurisdiction",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Ecofin"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate frontier Gabon — Mining Convention + strong govt support + secured infrastructure; first Gabon asset in the screen"
  },
  {
   "id": "kanyika",
   "name": "Kanyika (niobium)",
   "country": "Malawi",
   "operator": "Globe Metals & Mining (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Malawi — stable multiparty democracy; mining-sector reforms under Vision 2063; Mining Development Agreement + Large-Scale Mining Licence in hand",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Globe / Discovery Alert"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Central/northern Malawi (near Kasungu); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "Moderate — stable democracy and contractual framework (Mining Development Agreement); small economy; historical development-agreement delays now resolved",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Globe"
   },
   "screen": "Moderate Malawi — stable democracy + contractual framework in hand; small economy; fourth Malawi asset"
  },
  {
   "id": "toliara",
   "name": "Vara Mada / Toliara (mineral sands + REE)",
   "country": "Madagascar",
   "operator": "Energy Fuels (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Madagascar — ELEVATED risk: OCTOBER 2025 COUP overthrew the Rajoelina government mid-negotiation; prior 5-yr project suspension (2019-2024); FID needs Parliament + Constitutional High Court approval of an investment agreement",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Ecofin / allAfrica / Crux Investor",
    "note": "Energy Fuels is renegotiating fiscal terms with the post-coup government; project not halted but agreement unsigned."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "SW Madagascar (Ranobe/Toliara); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Investment agreement seeks expropriation protection + international arbitration; Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Energy Fuels 2026 guidance"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "ELEVATED — recent coup + history of suspension; mitigated by US-government alignment and an investment agreement (expropriation protection/arbitration) under negotiation",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Ecofin / Energy Fuels"
   },
   "screen": "ELEVATED Madagascar — Oct-2025 coup + suspension history; US-aligned and renegotiating, but the investment agreement is unsigned (FID gate)"
  },
  {
   "id": "farim",
   "name": "Farim (phosphate)",
   "country": "Guinea-Bissau",
   "operator": "Itafos (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Guinea-Bissau — ELEVATED risk: chronic political instability, including a NOVEMBER 2025 COUP; limited infrastructure; first modern mine in the country",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "mining-technology / general",
    "note": "Guinea-Bissau has a long history of coups; a Nov-2025 coup is the latest instance."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Northern central Guinea-Bissau (Farim); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "ELEVATED — chronic instability + Nov-2025 coup; govt 10% free-carry aligns state interest; but fragile-state tail risk is material",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "ELEVATED Guinea-Bissau — chronic instability + Nov-2025 coup; govt 10% free-carry aligns interest but fragile-state risk is material"
  },
  {
   "id": "boumadine",
   "name": "Boumadine (polymetallic Au-Ag-Zn-Pb)",
   "country": "Morocco",
   "operator": "Aya Gold & Silver (operates Zgounder)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Morocco (Kingdom of) — stable constitutional monarchy; established, mining-friendly framework (Anti-Atlas); EU-adjacent; first Moroccan asset in the screen",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "resourceworld / Aya"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Province of Errachidia (Anti-Atlas); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "LOW — stable monarchy, established rule of law, pro-mining policy; one of Africa's more investment-friendly jurisdictions",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "LOW-risk Morocco — stable, mining-friendly North-African jurisdiction; new country that strengthens the low-risk end"
  },
  {
   "id": "lofdal",
   "name": "Lofdal (heavy rare earths)",
   "country": "Namibia",
   "operator": "Namibia Critical Metals 95% (JOGMEC JV)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Namibia — proven, stable mining jurisdiction with established infrastructure; fully permitted (25-yr ML); administrative permitting backlog (600+ environmental petitions) is a general sector note",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "NCMI / discoveryalert"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "NW Namibia (Lofdal/Khorixas area); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "LOW — stable democracy, established mining law and a granted 25-yr Mining Licence; JOGMEC sovereign partnership further anchors",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "LOW-risk Namibia — stable jurisdiction + granted 25-yr ML + JOGMEC sovereign anchor"
  },
  {
   "id": "haib",
   "name": "Haib (copper-moly-gold porphyry)",
   "country": "Namibia",
   "operator": "Koryx Copper (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Namibia — proven, stable mining jurisdiction; established framework; //Karas Region (south)",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "mining-technology / Koryx"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "//Karas Region, southern Namibia; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "LOW — stable democracy, established mining law",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "LOW-risk Namibia — stable, established mining jurisdiction"
  },
  {
   "id": "orom-cross",
   "name": "Orom-Cross (graphite)",
   "country": "Uganda",
   "operator": "Blencowe Resources (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Uganda — MODERATE: an established (gold-led) mining sector and DFI-comfortable (DFC + AFC engaged), but governance concerns and a historically conflict-affected north (now peaceful) temper the profile",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "intellinews / Blencowe",
    "note": "Not a coup/junta state; DFC+AFC comfort signals acceptable-but-not-low risk."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Orom District, northern Uganda; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "DFC (US govt) involvement implies political-risk comfort; Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Blencowe / Project Funding"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "MODERATE — stable governing order and DFI-backed, but long-tenure governance + northern-history are watch-items",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "MODERATE Uganda — DFI-comfortable (DFC/AFC engaged); governance + northern-history keep it off the low-risk tier"
  },
  {
   "id": "bankan",
   "name": "Bankan (gold)",
   "country": "Guinea",
   "operator": "Predictive Discovery (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Guinea — ELEVATED: ruling MILITARY JUNTA since the 2021 coup (govt dissolved Feb 2024; elections flagged but junta in power as PDI seeks financing); offset by an established mining code and a major mining sector (Simandou, bauxite, gold)",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Argonaut / miningreview",
    "note": "Junta rule is the explicit country/political risk (Argonaut)."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "NE Guinea (Siguiri Basin); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "ELEVATED — junta governance + financing sought under military rule; mitigated by an established mining code and active foreign investment (Simandou)",
    "state": "Derived",
    "source": "Argonaut"
   },
   "screen": "ELEVATED Guinea — military junta (2021 coup); established mining code and active sector partially offset"
  },
  {
   "id": "zanaga",
   "name": "Zanaga (iron ore)",
   "country": "Republic of Congo",
   "operator": "Zanaga Iron Ore Co (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Republic of Congo (Brazzaville; NOT DRC) — ELEVATED frontier: infrastructure-poor (no mineral port), some sector permit disputes (ICC arbitration on other assets), long project gestation",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "energycapitalpower / miningweekly"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Lekoumou department; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "ELEVATED — frontier governance + heavy infrastructure dependency + multi-year gestation; world-class geology is the offset",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "ELEVATED Republic of Congo (Brazzaville, not DRC) — infrastructure-poor frontier; world-class geology offsets"
  },
  {
   "id": "muntanga",
   "name": "Muntanga (uranium)",
   "country": "Zambia",
   "operator": "Atomic Eagle (100%; ex-GoviEx)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Zambia — MODERATE: a pro-mining government and good infrastructure (and a stated 'mining-friendly jurisdiction'), tempered by Zambia's history of mining-fiscal volatility",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "GoviEx / African Mining Market",
    "note": "Pro-mining and stable, but fiscal-regime history keeps it off the low-risk tier."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Siavonga/Chirundu (south, near Lake Kariba); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "MODERATE — stable, pro-mining; watch-item is fiscal-regime stability rather than expropriation",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "MODERATE Zambia — pro-mining and stable, but mining-fiscal history keeps it off the low-risk tier"
  },
  {
   "id": "bilboes",
   "name": "Bilboes (gold)",
   "country": "Zimbabwe",
   "operator": "Caledonia Mining (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Zimbabwe — ELEVATED: currency/monetary instability, fiscal volatility and an indigenisation history; materially mitigated by Caledonia's decades-long in-country track record (Blanket) and a favourable 2026 gold-royalty change",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "stocktitan / miningweekly",
    "note": "Established operator + improved 2026 fiscal terms partly offset a genuinely elevated macro risk."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Matabeleland North (near Bulawayo); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "ELEVATED — currency/fiscal/indigenisation history; offset by a proven in-country operator and improving fiscal terms",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "ELEVATED Zimbabwe — macro/currency/indigenisation risk; Caledonia's proven Blanket track record is the key mitigant"
  },
  {
   "id": "douta",
   "name": "Douta (gold)",
   "country": "Senegal",
   "operator": "Thor Explorations (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Senegal — relatively LOW-risk for the region: stable democracy with a peaceful 2024 transition and an established industrial gold sector (Sabodala-Massawa, Mako); clearly more stable than the Sahel juntas",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Ecofin / mining-technology",
    "note": "Senegal is among West Africa's more stable, mining-established jurisdictions."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "SE Senegal (Kedougou/Saraya gold district); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "LOW-to-MODERATE — stable democracy + established mining code; Mining Convention finalisation is the live administrative item",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "LOW-risk Senegal — stable democracy, established gold sector; Mining Convention is the open administrative step"
  },
  {
   "id": "bekisopa",
   "name": "Bekisopa (iron ore)",
   "country": "Madagascar",
   "operator": "AKORA Resources (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Madagascar — ELEVATED: the Oct-2025 coup and recent civil unrest; AKORA reports no impact on field activities to date but acknowledges the unrest",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "sharecafe",
    "note": "Same Oct-2025 coup/instability flagged for Toliara; honestly elevated."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "South-central Madagascar; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "ELEVATED — recent coup/civil unrest; mitigated by government 'project of significance' status and local community support",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "ELEVATED Madagascar — Oct-2025 coup/unrest; govt 'project of significance' + community support partly offset"
  },
  {
   "id": "enchi",
   "name": "Enchi (gold)",
   "country": "Ghana",
   "operator": "Newcore Gold (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Ghana — LOW-risk: a stable democracy, Africa's largest gold producer, with a favourable/streamlined mine-permitting process and strong government support",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Newcore / globenewswire"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "SW Ghana (Bibiani Shear Zone); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "LOW — stable democracy + established, pro-mining framework",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "LOW-risk Ghana — stable democracy, Africa's largest gold producer, streamlined permitting"
  },
  {
   "id": "boundiali",
   "name": "Boundiali (gold)",
   "country": "Cote d'Ivoire",
   "operator": "Aurum Resources (operator/owner)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Cote d'Ivoire — MODERATE: an established, fast-growing West African gold hub (Tongon, Sissingue, Kone, Yaoure) with good infrastructure, tempered by political-cycle and regional-security watch-items",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "capmad / ainvest",
    "note": "Established gold hub; political-cycle risk keeps it off the low-risk tier."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Savannes region, northern CIV; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "MODERATE — established mining code + active majors; political-cycle/regional-security are the watch-items",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "MODERATE Cote d'Ivoire — established gold hub + good infrastructure; political-cycle risk keeps it off the low tier"
  },
  {
   "id": "afema",
   "name": "Afema (gold)",
   "country": "Cote d'Ivoire",
   "operator": "Turaco Gold (80%; Sodim 20%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Cote d'Ivoire — MODERATE: one of West Africa's more stable mining jurisdictions over the past decade, with good infrastructure, tempered by political-cycle and currency exposures",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "stocksdownunder / ainvest"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "SE CIV (Sefwi-Bibiani belt, ~120km from Abidjan); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "MODERATE — granted mining permit + Mining Convention provide some fiscal stability; political-cycle/currency are the watch-items",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "MODERATE CIV — stable-decade gold hub + granted permit/convention; political-cycle/currency the watch-items"
  },
  {
   "id": "tgme",
   "name": "TGME (gold)",
   "country": "South Africa",
   "operator": "Theta Gold Mines (74%; 26% BEE)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "South Africa — MODERATE: deep mining sector + capital markets + rule of law, tempered by power (Eskom), regulatory and operational-complexity risk",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "discoveryalert",
    "note": "Established but operationally complex; moderate."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Mpumalanga (Pilgrim's Rest/Sabie); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "MODERATE — strong rule of law + BEE compliance; power/regulatory/operational complexity are the live items",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "MODERATE South Africa — deep sector + rule of law; power/regulatory/operational complexity temper it"
  },
  {
   "id": "diamba-sud",
   "name": "Diamba Sud (gold)",
   "country": "Senegal",
   "operator": "Fortuna Mining (100% via Boya SA)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Senegal — LOW-risk: stable democracy, established gold sector (Sabodala-Massawa, Mako), predictable permitting (ESIA approved in ~9 months)",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "energycapitalpower / Canadian Mining Journal"
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Eastern Senegal (Kenieba-Koudougou Inlier); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "LOW-to-MODERATE — stable democracy + established code; 10% state free-carry (+25% option) is contractual, not expropriation",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "LOW-risk Senegal — stable democracy, established gold sector, predictable permitting"
  },
  {
   "id": "bunyu",
   "name": "Bunyu (graphite)",
   "country": "Tanzania",
   "operator": "Volt Resources (100%; UOF 62% pending)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Tanzania — MODERATE: a major mining destination with significant graphite developments, tempered by resource-nationalism history (2017 mining-law overhaul, government free-carry, periodic permit revocations)",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "tanzaniainvest",
    "note": "Established but resource-nationalist; moderate."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Mtwara Region, SE Tanzania; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "MODERATE — government free-carry + 2017-code framework; periodic permit actions are the watch-item",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "MODERATE Tanzania — major mining destination; resource-nationalism/free-carry temper it"
  },
  {
   "id": "ancuabe",
   "name": "Ancuabe (graphite)",
   "country": "Mozambique",
   "operator": "Triton Minerals (80%; Moz govt 10%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Mozambique (Cabo Delgado) — HIGH/ELEVATED: active ISIS-linked insurgency; the Ancuabe site was attacked Jun 2022 (two staff killed) and 2024 unrest displaced ~67,000; security has since partly improved",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "clubofmozambique / mozambiqueexpert",
    "note": "Active insurgency zone with a prior fatal site attack — clearly elevated."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Cabo Delgado (insurgency-affected); no admin1 figure captured this cycle."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "PRI likely available but priced for an active-conflict region; per-country MIGA eligibility not verified",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "ELEVATED — driven by security/insurgency rather than expropriation per se; Moz govt has been supportive of the project",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "HIGH/ELEVATED Mozambique (Cabo Delgado) — active insurgency, prior fatal site attack; the dominant risk"
  },
  {
   "id": "zandkopsdrift",
   "name": "Zandkopsdrift (REE + Mn)",
   "country": "South Africa",
   "operator": "Frontier Rare Earths (IDC/Carester/Komir partners)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "South Africa — MODERATE: deep mining sector + rule of law, tempered by power/regulatory/operational complexity; Northern Cape with road/rail access",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "discoveryalert",
    "note": "Same SA moderate basis as other SA assets."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Northern Cape; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "MODERATE — rule of law + IDC/EU backing; power/regulatory are the watch-items",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "MODERATE South Africa — IDC/EU-backed, Northern Cape infrastructure; power/regulatory temper it"
  },
  {
   "id": "kandiole",
   "name": "Kandiole (gold)",
   "country": "Mali",
   "operator": "Roscan Gold (100%)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "Mali — ELEVATED: military-junta governance + a 2023 resource-nationalist mining code (state participation up to ~30-35%); a top gold producer but with active state-vs-major disputes",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "Ecofin / ornoirafrica",
    "note": "Junta + 2023-code resource nationalism -> elevated."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Kayes Region, W Mali; no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "ELEVATED — 2023 mining code sharply increased state participation; junta governance; major-vs-state disputes in country",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "ELEVATED Mali — junta + 2023 resource-nationalist mining code; high gold output but real state-take/political risk"
  },
  {
   "id": "steenkampskraal",
   "name": "Steenkampskraal (REE + thorium)",
   "country": "South Africa",
   "operator": "SMM (Holdings + Bora; IDC-funded)",
   "jurisdiction": {
    "value": "South Africa — MODERATE: deep mining sector + rule of law, tempered by power/regulatory/operational complexity; Western Cape",
    "state": "Sourced",
    "source": "esi-africa",
    "note": "Same SA moderate basis."
   },
   "security_acled": {
    "value": null,
    "state": "Absent",
    "note": "Western Cape (Vanrhynsdorp); no admin1 figure captured."
   },
   "pri_insurability": {
    "value": "Political-risk cover (MIGA / national ECA) is typically available for this region; per-country MIGA eligibility not separately verified this cycle",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "expropriation_nationalism": {
    "value": "MODERATE — rule of law + IDC backing; NNR/nuclear-regulatory overlay (thorium) is the distinctive factor",
    "state": "Derived"
   },
   "screen": "MODERATE South Africa — IDC-backed; NNR/thorium regulatory overlay is the distinctive factor"
  }
 ]
}