Comparables (Graphite-matched)none in the 25-set for this commodity · full screenAbsent
Risk read
mining major · insurer — what is the exposure?
Province IC compositeMozambique Belt — 4.9/10 Derived
Ownership structureSyrah-controlled via Twigg; no verified change of control during force majeure period Sourced
Recent events (record)Force majeure declared Dec 2024 (Mozambique civil unrest post-Oct 2024 election); production resumed during 2025; 2025 actual: 67 kt produced / 55 kt sold; Q1 2026 production ~23.5-24 kt (sub-nameplate) … Sourced
What this record does not yet support — disclosed, not estimated
Risk-adjusted discount rate — deliberately not published. A province-level base is mechanically computable from the published formula (r = 8.0% + (10 − IC) × 0.8%), but Afrimintel does not publish an asset rate without asset-level tenure, settlement, and structure screening (the §10 worked-dossier process). Publishing the base alone would misstate asset risk. Each worked decomposition converts this Absent to a Derived range.
Transparency flag on record: force majeure recovery