AFRIMINTEL · decision layer

The decision layer

25 verified transactions — sample view

African mineral transactions 2015–2025 plus international comparables, rendered from the deployed set at build time. Every deal Sourced; value-status flags carried where the record qualifies its own figure. Click “source” on any row for the per-deal verification stamp and attribution. Spans shown are spans of this set — never asserted as market curves.

dataset v2.28.20 · machine-readable: /api/v1/transactions.json · normalisation: published methodology v0.1 · cross-asset screen

Development-stage comparables

12 early-stage deals across the set — the junior / development-finance lens (EBRD, DFI)

YearDealCommodity · stageUS$MMetric
2025Shenghe Resources (from Peak Rare Earths)
Ngualla NdPr project (Tanzania)
sourced
sourceShenghe acquired the 80.3% of Peak Rare Earths it did not own for A$195M (~US$128M), taking full control of Ngualla; court-approved 19 Sep 2025, Peak delisted 1 Oct 2025. RECONSTRUCTED: prior $420M 2022 was unsupported. [verified primary source 2026-05-30]
REE · Dev128
2024Gold Fields
Osisko Mining (Windfall, Canada - intl comp)
sourced
sourceInternational Au dev-stage benchmark. C$2.16bn = US$1.57bn per Gold Fields (currency-corrected). [verified 2026-05-30]
Au · Dev1,570$403/oz
2024Montage Gold (2024 equity raise, not IPO/M&A)
Kone project funding (Cote d'Ivoire)
sourced
sourceMontage raised C$215M equity in 2024 (~US$157M) for Kone; NOT a $220M IPO (already TSX-listed). Separately Kone secured a US$825M financing package (Wheaton US$625M stream + facilities; Zijin US$75M stream + US$50M loan), Oct 2024. Was $220M IPO (corrected). [verified 2026-05-30]
Au · Dev157
2024Zijin Mining
Montage Gold 9.9% strategic stake (Kone, Cote d'Ivoire)
sourced
sourceZijin invested C$58.2M (~US$43M) for 9.9% of Montage Gold (Kone owner), 2024. RECONSTRUCTED: prior Goldstrike Resources->Kone $600M 2023 was unsupported - Kone permit traces to Red Back Mining (2008)/Kinross, not Goldstrike. [verified primary source 2026-05-30]
Au · Dev43
2024Shenghe Resources (offtake, not acquirer)
Ngualla 100% concentrate offtake (Tanzania) · supply deal no acquisition value
sourced
sourceBinding offtake: Shenghe to buy 100% of Ngualla rare-earth concentrate (signed Jun 2024). Supply deal - no acquisition value. RECONSTRUCTED: prior Lynas Rare Earths->Ngualla offtake was wrong; offtake partner is Shenghe, not Lynas. [verified primary source 2026-05-30]
REE · Dev
2024Ivanhoe Electric
Samapleu-Grata Ni-Cu JV 60% (Sama Resources, Cote d'Ivoire)
sourced
sourceIvanhoe Electric earned 60% of the Samapleu-Grata Ni-Cu JV by investing C$25M (~US$18.4M) by Mar 2024 (earn-in formalised Mar 2021). Was $30M (corrected). [verified primary source 2026-05-30]
Ni-Cu · Exp18.4
2023BHP (Kabanga Nickel stake)
Kabanga Nickel (17% via two investments)
sourced
sourceBHP invested US$90M total for 17% (US$50M initial Jan 2022 incl US$10M into Lifezone; doubled by 2023). Was $60M (corrected). BHP exited Jul 2025, selling 17% to Lifezone for up to US$83M deferred; Lifezone ~84% (Tanzania Govt 16%). [verified 2026-05-30]
Ni-Co · Dev90
2022Ivanhoe Mines / Gecamines
Kipushi restart JV (DRC)
sourced
sourceKipushi restart JV (term sheet 14 Feb 2022; executed 2023). US$250M = proposed offtake pre-payment facility; 2022 FS pre-production capital US$382M. Financing/restart-JV benchmark, NOT an acquisition consideration. [verified 2026-05-30]
Zn · Dev->Op250
+ 4 more development-stage deals — the full curated set with metrics is a Pro deliverable. Pricing

African M&A

15 records

YearDealCommodity · stageUS$MMetric
2025Shenghe Resources (from Peak Rare Earths)
Ngualla NdPr project (Tanzania)
sourced
sourceShenghe acquired the 80.3% of Peak Rare Earths it did not own for A$195M (~US$128M), taking full control of Ngualla; court-approved 19 Sep 2025, Peak delisted 1 Oct 2025. RECONSTRUCTED: prior $420M 2022 was unsupported. [verified primary source 2026-05-30]
REE · Dev128
2024MMG
Cuprous Capital / Khoemacau (Botswana) · verified primary source
sourced
sourceUS$1,734.7M settled consideration for MMG 100% acquisition of Cuprous Capital (Khoemacau owner), completed Mar 2024 (announced EV US$1,875M, Nov 2023). 100%-acquisition basis. [verified primary source]
Cu-Ag · Op1,734.7
+ 13 more in this category — the full curated set with metrics and value-status flags is a Pro deliverable. Pricing

International comparables

6 records

YearDealCommodity · stageUS$MMetric
2025Rio Tinto
Arcadium Lithium (global - intl comp)
sourced
sourceMega Li acquisition benchmark. Announced Oct 2024, completed 6 Mar 2025, US$6.7bn (Arcadium created Jan 2024; year corrected from 2023). [verified primary source 2026-05-30]
Li · Op6,700
2024Gold Fields
Osisko Mining (Windfall, Canada - intl comp)
sourced
sourceInternational Au dev-stage benchmark. C$2.16bn = US$1.57bn per Gold Fields (currency-corrected). [verified 2026-05-30]
Au · Dev1,570$403/oz
+ 4 more in this category — the full curated set with metrics and value-status flags is a Pro deliverable. Pricing

Financing & JV

1 record

YearDealCommodity · stageUS$MMetric
2022Ivanhoe Mines / Gecamines
Kipushi restart JV (DRC)
sourced
sourceKipushi restart JV (term sheet 14 Feb 2022; executed 2023). US$250M = proposed offtake pre-payment facility; 2022 FS pre-production capital US$382M. Financing/restart-JV benchmark, NOT an acquisition consideration. [verified 2026-05-30]
Zn · Dev->Op250

Financing benchmarks

1 record

YearDealCommodity · stageUS$MMetric
2024Montage Gold (2024 equity raise, not IPO/M&A)
Kone project funding (Cote d'Ivoire)
sourced
sourceMontage raised C$215M equity in 2024 (~US$157M) for Kone; NOT a $220M IPO (already TSX-listed). Separately Kone secured a US$825M financing package (Wheaton US$625M stream + facilities; Zijin US$75M stream + US$50M loan), Oct 2024. Was $220M IPO (corrected). [verified 2026-05-30]
Au · Dev157

Offtake

1 record

YearDealCommodity · stageUS$MMetric
2024Shenghe Resources (offtake, not acquirer)
Ngualla 100% concentrate offtake (Tanzania) · supply deal no acquisition value
sourced
sourceBinding offtake: Shenghe to buy 100% of Ngualla rare-earth concentrate (signed Jun 2024). Supply deal - no acquisition value. RECONSTRUCTED: prior Lynas Rare Earths->Ngualla offtake was wrong; offtake partner is Shenghe, not Lynas. [verified primary source 2026-05-30]
REE · Dev

Capex benchmarks

1 record

YearDealCommodity · stageUS$MMetric
2024Barrick Mining
Lumwana Super Pit expansion (capex, not M&A)
sourced
sourceUS$2.0bn Super Pit expansion CAPEX (FS Feb 2025; launched Oct 2024). NOT an acquisition/JV. Year corrected 2023->2024. [verified 2026-05-30]
Cu · Op2,000

Category and verification fields are the deployed set's own tags. African M&A and international comparables are presented separately by design. On the EV/oz gap between the buckets: the buckets differ in deal vintage (African 2019/2021 vs international 2022/2024, across a period of materially rising gold prices) and mix stage, so the full spans are confounded and are not evidence of a jurisdiction discount by themselves. The nearest like-for-like contrast in the set — Teranga 2021 (African, operating, $122/oz) against Pretivm 2022 (international, operating, $394/oz) — is a single near-contemporaneous same-stage pair, consistent with the verification-discount thesis this platform exists to close, and presented as exactly that: one pair, not a statistic.