◢ AFRI M INTEL · decision layer
The decision view
Loulo-Gounkoto
West Africa Birimian · Au · Barrick (80%) / State of Mali (20%)
intelligence-grade producing governance change resolved
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Derived from the deployed data layer at build · dataset v2.4.3 · record reviewed 2026-05-02 · machine-readable: /api/v1/deposits/loulo-gounkoto.json · interactive worked example →
Investment screen DFI · investment house — is this fundable, watchable, or a pass?
Life-cycle stage producing Derived
Operating status Restored — gradual restart phase post-Dec 2025 settlement Sourced
Reserve scale (P+P) 57 Mt @ 3.99 g/t Au ≈ 7.3 Moz contained Sourced
Reserve basis (verbatim) 100% project basis (Barrick 80% share = 7.3 Moz at 4.02 g/t)
Risk-adjusted rate (§10) ~12-13% — post-settlement re-entry Derived
Value anchors advisory · corporate development — what does the record support?
Resource (M+I+I) 77.2 Mt @ 4.23 g/t Au Sourced
Resource basis (verbatim) 100% project basis
Primary source Barrick Annual Information Form 2025 (released March 2026); Mali Settlement Decree Feb 2026 [Sourced 2026-05-02] Sourced
Comparables (Au-matched) 5 African M&A — $122–228/oz (set span, n=2) · 2 intl — $394–403/oz (set span, n=2) · 1 financing/benchmark — set spans, not market curves · deals Sourced Risk read mining major · insurer — what is the exposure?
Province IC composite West Africa Birimian — 3.9/10 Derived
Ownership structure 80/20 maintained per Nov 2025 settlement (Mali 2023 Mining Code allowed up to 35% but settlement preserved 80/20 + $430M cash + tranched royalty escalation) Sourced
Recent events (record) Provisional state administration June-Dec 2025; operational control restored 16 Dec 2025 after $430M settlement (paid in tranches Q1 2026); Loulo permit renewed 10 years 13 Feb 2026 (ICSID arbitration withdrawn) … Sourced
Three-state Quality Standard: Sourced / Derived / Absent — no fourth state. Every figure on this page is derived mechanically from the deployed data layer at build time; absent fields are disclosed, never estimated. Risk-adjusted rates render only where the §10 bankability decomposition has been worked and published. Operators/owners named are public-record parties to public assets; no Afrimintel commercial relationship is implied. Screening aid, not an Independent Engineer substitute. Editorial independence: Independence Policy .
Built to survive due diligence.